![]() ![]() These models include those from the Weather forecasting as well as models from other global forecasting centres such as the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Met Office forecasters consider output from a range of weather models when writing these forecasts. warmer, colder, wetter, drier) across the whole UK. The 16-30 day text outlook (which is updated on a daily basis) provides an indication of how the weather might change, or be different from normal, (i.e. If you are after a 14-day weather forecast then our 6-15 day text forecast will provide a broad description of the weather likely to be affecting the UK. This covers the end of our 6-15 day text forecast and the whole of our 16-30 day text forecast. Extended-range weather forecasts (10 - 30 days)Įxtended-range weather forecasts cover periods between 10 and 30-days ahead. It also provides a risk assessment of severe weather, such as heavy rainfall, severe gales or an extended period of high or low temperatures. The 6-15 day text forecasts provide a broad description of the weather likely to be affecting the UK, including significant changes in the type of weather. The Met Office has a good track record in advising on any significant risk of severe weather in this period. The regional 3-5 day text forecasts provide a general picture of the weather on a day-by-day basis, with the main regional variations identified. ![]() The UK medium-range outlook is covered in the five-day location and map-based forecasts as well as the forecaster written forecasts. Medium-range weather forecasts cover anything from around three to 10-days ahead. Medium-range weather forecasts (3 - 10 days) Short-range forecasts provided by the Met Office are extremely accurate and are updated several times a day. Short-range weather forecasts cover periods from just a few hours ahead (from the nowcasting time-scale) up to about three days ahead. Short-range weather forecasts (1 - 3 days) The same idea applies to the precipitation normal values, except enhanced odds forĪbove- (below-) normal precipitation values are green (brown).Nowcasting maps the current weather and then uses an estimate of its speed and direction of movement to forecast the weather a short period ahead - assuming the weather will move without significant changes.Īt the Met Office nowcasting is combined with the latest high resolution model output to form a detailed forecast out to six hours. ![]() ![]() If the selected point is within an area of enhanced odds forīelow-normal temperatures, the shading around the normal maximum/minimum temperature will appear blue. If the selected point is withinĪn area of enhanced odds for above-normal temperatures, the shading around the normal maximum/minimum temperature will appear red. The color used to highlight the normal values (precipitation or maximum/minimum temperature) are used to delineate the category of the forecast at the point clicked. What does the highlighting around the normal precipitation or normal maximum/minimum temperature imply? 1 day ago &0183 &32 The PGA Championship always has the strongest field of the year on the PGA Tour, and thats the case this week sans Tiger Woods at Oak Hill in New York for the second major championship with 99 of the worlds top 100 golfers set to play. What color scheme is used? The color scheme follows that of the static images for the 6-10 day forecasts and 8-14 day forecasts. Intervening values are linearly interpolated, combined with data from the COOP, and averaged over the 7-day period to createĪverage maximum/minimum temperature normals. For temperatures, monthly average maximum/minimum temperatures are assigned to theġ5th of the current month and subsequent month. These values are then summed over the 7-day period to create total precipitation normals. PRISM data are inherently available as monthly values.įor precipitation, daily average values are calculated (Monthly Total/Number of Days in Month) and combined with data from the Cooperative Observer Network (COOP). PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) normals are used in this display. Many thanks to the staff there for developing the prototype and assisting in the transition to CPC.įAQ What climatologies are used in this display? Plan you week with the help of our 10-day weather forecasts and weekend weather. This webpage was developed in conjunction with the Weather Forecast Office in Pendleton, Oregon (WFO PDT). ![]()
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